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Betting on prediction markets has exploded over past two years

Bets placed on online platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi, which allow users to make wagers on events in sports, politics and popular culture, have soared from less than $100m a month in early 2024 to more than $13b in November this year, according to a report from crypto firms Dune and Keyrock.

Both companies have announced a string of new partnerships with major sports leagues and others, and embarked on marketing blitzes. Google Finance displays probabilities based on betting data from both...