Disputed bets are a growing headache for prediction markets, including Polymarket, as they contend with a surge of new traders and dizzying growth in trading volume. The platforms aim to write clear yes-or-no questions for traders to wager on. But the messiness of real-world events means it isn’t always obvious which side was right. Most prediction-market firms, such as Kalshi, sort out disputes and ambiguities themselves. But Polymarket outsources the task to a third-party service called UMA, which conducts votes when rival factions of traders disagree over who deserves a payout.
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The mysterious crypto judges who settle polymarket disputes
“Many traders lose money on Polymarket because they do not read the rules properly and then blame UMA and UMA.rocks simply because we are an easy target,”
